Published on: 05/04/2024
As the lights flicker in the volatile world of cryptocurrencies, Solana, the fifth-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, is currently navigating through a gloomy maze. The torrential increase in memecoin transactions fueled by the recent mania has left the network gasping for breath, with approximately 75% of these transactions currently failing. But the question that arises is - is Solana struggling as it seemingly appears or is there more to the story than meets the eye?
Dune Analytics data reveals that on April 4, just over three-quarters of all non-vote transactions on Solana hit a brick wall, again casting a shadow on its reliability. This development has been matched by a growing outcry from Solana users on social media platforms, expressing their disappointment over abandoned transactions and a sub-optimal user experience.
The nail-biting scenario led Altcoin Sherpa, a pseudonymous trader, to voice his concerns. While he firmly held on to his belief of Solana birthing a new age for retail adoption in this cycle, he couldnt overlook the flawed current user experience. He lamented, “As much as I think that SOL is the chain for retail this cycle — the experience is fing brutal lately.”
However, the narrative took a plot twist when Mert Mumtaz, CEO of Helius and a vocal Solana advocate, expressed dissent with the interpretation that 75% of transactions on Solana were failing. He elucidated that a significant portion of the failed non-vote, transactions were simply “bot spam”, painting a very different picture of the situation.
The murky picture looked a bit clearer as Mumtaz pointed out, “About 95% of that entire chart is just bots failing arbitrage attempts.” He further explained that since a large chunk of this spam activity takes a dive before the transaction scheduling process commences, inflating transaction priority fees is not the panacea most users assume it to be. It instead risks users wasting money by shooting their transaction priorities above a certain median.
In the line of fire stands the Solana 1.18 network upgrade. Mumtaz expresses his skepticism about this upgrade solving these issues, indicating that Solana’s user experience might continue to stumble for some time. To curb these failures, he suggests the need for networking patches, that are slated for release soon.
Market-wise, Solana (SOL) while just fumbling by 3% in the past week, did see a remarkable 45% rally in the preceding month. Presently it commands a total value of a whopping $81 billion, nipping at the heels of Binance’s BNB token (BNB) currently valued at $89 billion.
The question now stands, What does this all mean for investors? While the green signal from Dune Analytics may give investors & the market just a second of pause, the silver lining is seen in Mumtaz’s explanation. The ongoing transaction failures, rather than indicating systemic flaws, are indicative of an increase in failed bot arbitrage attempts.
This Solana saga underscores a crucial lesson for eager investors- in the cryptoverse, with its relentless volatility & rapid pace, staying informed and flexible is paramount- whether its a sea of failing transactions or a memecoin storm. It’s not just about riding the wave, but knowing when, where, and how to surf. As long as one can straddle the line between risk and reward with aplomb, profitability in the difficult crypto terrain is within grasp.