Published on: 13/02/2024
In a surprising turn of events, Solana (SOL) saw a staggering price rally of 19% within a week, leading to numerous conversations around whether $120 is the next pit stop. The surge has surpassed rival BNB (BNB) in market capitalization to secure the third spot, excluding stablecoins. Notably, the bullish run points to factors such as airdrops and a superior, lower-cost, user-friendly network solution to competitors.
The big question, of course, is whether these favorable conditions suffice to justify a rally heading towards a $120 mark, and possibly beyond.
Savvy crypto investors have consistently argued for the advantage of Ethereum network rollup solutions in offering scalability and cost reductions. However, new investors are likely drawn to the simplicity of Solana’s user experience. This ease-of-use extends to nonfungible token (NFT) launches and airdrops targeting upwards of 10,000 addresses, a feat that postures Solana well during periods of high demand.
Moreover, despite facing a 5-hour network outage on February 6, SOLs market performance remained unaffected. There were subsequent challenges, however, as exchanges temporarily paused deposits and withdrawals of SOL and Solana SPL tokens, implicating user interactions with decentralized applications (DApps).
Solana has faced twelve such outages over the past two years. Despite these hitches, Solana has consistently demonstrated the capacity to rectify and enhance its system, often outpacing Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) compatible networks. Unlike Ethereum which can take years to develop, test and implement, Solana’s developers rectify and improve the system within a matter of hours. This dynamic resilience likely explains why SOL’s price bears striking immunity even in the face of such network downtime.
The SOL price does appear to echo wider crypto market trends and especially Bitcoin (BTC) price movements. However, to fully gauge whether the SOL rally above $110 is sustainable, it becomes crucial to monitor Solana network activity, which usually dictates SOL demand.
Nevertheless, the initial DApps activity statistics are less than encouraging. The past week shows a 29% contraction in active addresses and a mere 4% rise in volumes for the Solana network. This metric contrasts sharply with BNB Chain and Polygon, which experienced almost a 30% surge in DApps volumes.
Given the similar market capitalization between SOL and BNB tokens, these numbers raise serious concerns about Solanas performance. While this data doesnt indicate a sharp SOL price correction looming, it does question the sustainability of a $120 trajectory and the subsequent $52.5 billion valuation in the medium or longer-run.
With 91.4 million transactions processed in just the past week, SOL bulls are banking on the network’s capacity. The hope is that the activity dip will recover, boosted either by airdrop incentives or otherwise. The abrupt rise and fall of the crypto market often confound even seasoned investors, but for those willing to brave the ride, SOL might just be an appealing horse to back.
As always, it’s crucial to note that every investment and trading move involves risk, and retail investors should conduct thorough research before making a decision. After all, the financial world is often an unpredictable stage with shifting curtains and a rotating cast.