Published on: 03/04/2024
The world of cryptocurrencies is always in motion, as demonstrated by Bitfinexs recent decision to introduce Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) volatility futures. This measure, taken in response to a spike in market volatility, expands the trading arsenal available to crypto investors on Bitfinex Derivatives platform.
Providing by iFinex Financial, these futures contracts derive their basis from the Volmex Implied Volatility indexes: the Bitcoin Implied Volatility Index (BVIV) and the Ethereum Implied Volatility Index (EVIV). These indexes monitor the 30-day expected volatility or the implied volatility of BTC and ETH options contracts.
The new contracts represent a fascinating development in the crypto futures market as they see the introduction of volatility itself as an asset class. Typically, in the options trading universe, implied volatility acts as a metric offering insight into the markets expectations concerning the future value of an asset. A high implied volatility intimates a higher degree of market expectation about price fluctuation, while lower volatility suggests the contrary.
The addition of BTC and ETH volatility futures is seen as especially well-timed given the recent bouts of crypto prices reaching new all-time highs. Bitfinex’s head of derivatives, Jag Kooner, highlighted that the likelihood of increased volatility amid significant price drawdowns renders these indexes urgently relevant.
Bitfinex is not unfamiliar with perpetual futures contracts. Beyond cryptocurrencies, it currently offers over 60 contracts, including indices based on commodities such as precious metals and oil, as well as FX and equities. These contracts enable both retail and institutional investors to speculate on an assets future price sans an expiration date, making them the most tradable format in the crypto space, according to Kooner.
Trading in volatility however is distinctive, as it capitalizes on the notorious price instability often witnessed in the crypto market. This very volatility notched up a momentous all-time high in March 2024 when the Crypto Volatility Index (CVI), a sort of crypto market “fear index” seized an 85 point peak on March 11. This occurred just before Bitcoin surged to a historic high above $73,000 on March 13. Presently, the CVI measures implied crypto volatility to be around 76.
For investors, Bitfinex’s creation of BTC and ETH volatility futures presents an innovative opportunity to trade based on the expected volatility of these two major cryptocurrencies. These new contracts indicate Bitfinexs efforts to adapt to the highly volatile nature of cryptocurrency markets. With the addition of volatility as an asset class itself, we could be seeing a new trend in the crypto futures market that may allow more sophisticated risk management strategies for investors.
The high volatility of cryptocurrencies gives investors a high-risk, high-reward spectrum which can be both alluring and intimidating. But with fine-tuned instruments like volatility futures on the table, seasoned investors may have a chance to better hedge their bets, contrary to the rather risky binary scenario of holding or selling an asset.
While the nascent world of cryptocurrency continues to be unpredictable, the ability to trade on an anticipatory basis, based on volatility, enhances the strategic toolbox available to investors. Bitfinexs latest innovation in the crypto futures market perhaps heralds the future of smart, adaptive, and dynamic investing in digital currencies.