Published on: 20/03/2024
The Future of Ether ETFs As SEC Delays Decision and Optimism Wanes
The cryptocurrency market has been facing some tumultuous waves lately, with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) delaying its decision on Ether exchange-traded funds (ETFs). This has resulted in a palpable decline in optimism among financial analysts and investors alike. The incident throws a spotlight on the SECs tactics, quelling the initial enthusiasm surrounding Ether ETFs.
Last Tuesday, March 19, the SEC deferred its decision on the spot Ether ETFs proposed by Hashdex and ARK 21Shares. This is a significant setback ahead of the regulators so-called third deadline, with both ETF applications expected to face the final decision by late May. The SECs final word concerning ARK 21Shares is scheduled for May 24, while Hashdexs application awaits the regulators verdict on or before May 30.
Interestingly enough, analysts have turned pessimistic about the outcome of Ether ETFs. Given the current application pool, which is short of eight ETFs, the drooping approval odds seem justified. This pool includes notable names like BlackRock, Grayscale, Fidelity, Invesco Galaxy, VanEck, Hashdex, and Franklin Templeton.
James Seyffart from Bloomberg opined that his formerly sanguine outlook on Ether ETFs has soured due to the apparent lack of communication between the SEC and the issuers. He predicts a rejection happening on May 23.
His negative sentiments were mirrored by fellow Bloomberg analyst, Eric Balchunas, who reduced the chances of Ether ETF approval from 50% to 35%. He called out the SECs radio silence, pointing out that the experience feels like the reverse of when a spot Bitcoin ETF was under consideration.
The sluggish approach by the SEC isnt just affecting experts but the broader market as well. Public sentiment gauged by Polymarket shows a significant dip from January’s 77% to a grim 32% in May when it comes to the approval of Ether ETFs.
Amid this bleak outlook, Grayscale has thrown its hat into the ring attempting to include staking in its Ether ETFs proposal which could be a game-changer. This would allow them to mitigate inflationary pressures resulting from Ethereums proof-of-stake protocol and maintain its position against other competitive products offering staking.
Nonetheless, Grayscales advanced proposal would require the consent of over 50% of shares. If successful, Grayscale could join ARK 21Shares, Franklin Templeton, and Fidelity, who have recently added Ether staking to their applications.
This recent turn of events provides valuable insights about the direction in which the cryptocurrency market is headed.
The SECs delay and the subsequent downturn in analysts and market sentiment signal that we may be bracing ourselves for a more conservative approach towards cryptocurrency regulation. However, the continued efforts by issuers to innovate and adapt their proposals signify the markets resilience and potential for future growth.
Whether the Ether ETFs gain approval or not will certainly be a deciding factor for the industry — a litmus test that will shape investor sentiment, regulation, and the progression of cryptocurrencies within the traditional financial market. Regulators, issuers, and investors alike are hence holding their breath, eagerly awaiting the SECs final decision due in late May.