Published on: 25/03/2024
Bitcoin: Back in Bulls Control or A Precursor to the Altcoin Season?
Bitcoin (BTC) is making headlines yet again. The world’s largest cryptocurrency by market cap, its price recently rose back above $70,000 for the first time in a week, shaking off a streak of negative flows into spot BTC exchange-traded funds (ETFs) the previous week. But what does this rollercoaster trajectory signify for the market and investors?
The Rise (Up Again) Of Bitcoin
A slight recovery was noticed after a series of price downturns that saw Bitcoin plunge as low as $60,771, triggered by negative ETF inflows. The BTC price bounced back from an open rate of $67,212 to peak at an intra-day high of $70,306 on March 25. This indicates a commendable swing of around 7.5% within the last 24 hours.
Does this recovery mark an upcoming all-time high? Maybe. Maybe not.
Last week seemingly marked the end of a 7-week cycle of fund infusions into crypto investment products. Investors retracted over $942 million, causing a curtailing of net assets under management by $10 billion. Yet, a praiseworthy amount of $88 billion still stands high, above prior cycle highpoints.
Market indicators suggest that this downslide in price led to a visible hesitancy from investors, contributing to lower inflows into new ETF issuers in the United States. However, these were partially balanced by $1.1 billion inflows, in contrast with Grayscale’s prominent $2 billion outflows last week.
One cant help but notice that the Bitcoin Age Consumed metric has made giant strides recently. The number of dormant Bitcoin addresses moving jumped to 162.89 million, an all-time high in the past two years. This suggests that formerly dormant Bitcoin is now being circulated, marking a resurgence in network activity, which could be a precursor to potential price fluctuations.
The Rise of Altcoin?
However, in the face of Bitcoin’s rollercoaster ride, altcoins have not been far behind, achieving net inflows of $16 million according to a recent report by CoinShares. Some notable inclusions are Polkadot (DOT), Avalanche (AVAX), and Litecoin (LTC), with inflows of $5 million, $2.9 million, and $2 million respectively. Gains by BNB Chains’ BNB, Dogecoin (DOGE) and Toncoin (TON) over the last week have further amplified the buzz around altcoins.
Whilst Bitcoin regained from a 4.5% rise over the same period, it decelerated against most of the altcoins during the same duration, including the prominent Ethereum. The altcoin market, showcasing a weekly relative strength index in the overbought region of 83, seems to gear up for greater leaps.
Popular analyst Sheldon The Sniper denotes this as a probable transition to a “MEGA altcoin squeeze and rally,” inching one step closer to a true altseason. Yet, BTC continues to dominate the market at 51.77% according to CoinMarketCap with the Altcoin Season Index by Blockchain Centre dropping to 49.
The Relevance for Investors
For investors, the current dynamics reflect a market leaning towards complexity and diversity. The market volatility, as indicated by the swift rise and fall of the Bitcoin price, underscores the idiosyncrasies inherent in the world of cryptocurrencies.
Moreover, the apparent altcoin season also has implications for hedging strategies. Spreading investments across several cryptocurrencies might help to minimize risks and optimize potential returns. By recognizing these emerging trends, investors can make reasoned decisions to maximize profit and secure return on investments.
In conclusion, the market - showcasing both potential promise and possible peril - remains one of high rewards and risks alike. These developments not only highlight the intricate relationship between Bitcoin and altcoins but also the puzzle of predicting market sentiments and future outcomes. One thing remains clear - whether its Bitcoins bull or an altcoin era, vigilance is key for investors in this rapidly evolving landscape.