Published on: 09/04/2024
In the throbbing, ever-evolving universe of cryptocurrency, Bitcoin (BTC) continues to reign supreme. The year 2024 has seen the flagship cryptocurrency exhibit a stellar performance, hitting new all-time highs, notably in March. Expressing these developments in a pulse-raising narrative shows clear signs of entering a euphoric phase on the back of speculative interest that replicates the excitement of the 2021 bull run.
The crypto data analytics firm, Glassnode, has been instrumental in tracking these market currents. As per its report, Bitcoin spot volumes suggest an influx of investor capital that is possibly pushing the crypto market into this euphoric phase. This shift comes as market participants eagerly anticipate the Bitcoin halving event, a periodic occurrence that has historically sent BTC prices soaring.
High liquidity and volatility in the market have been crucial in shaping this euphoria since October 2023, mirroring an impressive show similar to the 2021 bull run. A significant increase in BTCs spot trading volume has been noted since the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. on January 11, with daily volumes peaking in March. This heightened market activity raises the fascinating possibility of a substantial directional price move.
Diving deeper into the data, Bitcoins flow in and out of exchanges has also seen a drastic surge since July 2023. It is reported that the monthly average total of inflows and outflows from exchanges is around $8.19 billion per day, comfortably outpacing the peak during the 2021 bull market.
As we climb higher on this wave of optimism, Bitcoin’s realized profit also checked in at 1.8% in March 2024, matching its 2021 peak and providing clear indications of a bullish market. This signifies that Bitcoin investors have locked in 1.8% of the market cap as profit within a week’s period, expected to trigger more inflowing demand due to profit-taking.
A notable shift in market dynamics is also observed as new investors flood the market, evidenced by the increase in the share of wealth held by coins younger than 6 months. This rising pattern of new investors holding a larger share of the wealth, coupled with the high liquidity and the forthcoming Bitcoin supply halving, creates a palpable cloud of euphoria suggesting the bull market is very much in motion.
Nevertheless, analysts advise keeping a close eye on the behaviour of these new investors as their rising share could influence future movements in the crypto market. On the other side of the coin, the chance of a sustained bullish rally several weeks from now is speculated to remain low, given Bitcoins trade above its 2021 all-time high. This underlines that the balance of wealth is relatively evenly split between long-term stakeholders and newcomers, suggesting this euphoric phase is still early in its lifespan.
For investors and crypto enthusiasts alike, these developments underscore the exciting, unpredictable realm of cryptocurrency, specifically in Bitcoin which continues to blaze a trail. Fortifying existing positions or entering the market should be based on comprehensive research to navigate these unpredictable tides. However, with such buoyant indicators, Bitcoin continues to offer a thrilling ride in the crypto sphere.