Published on: 09/04/2024
In the thrilling world of cryptocurrency, the focus now restlessly shifts towards Bitcoin. A mere 10 days remain to the beckoned Bitcoin halving event, resulting in elevated expectations from market analysts predicting a soar above $150,000, representing an appreciation of over 160%. But these numbers arent plucked haphazardly from thin air. Stalwart Bitcoin values currently trade above the $70,000 psychological barrier, substantiating these bullish long-term prophecies.
This forecast is no mere whimsy but is, in fact, corroborated by detailed analytical research. Bitfinex analysts offered an in-depth insight into Bitcoins potential trajectory, using sophisticated regression modelling to predict this jaw-dropping ascent. Despite Bitcoin experiencing a minute 2.2% blip within the last 24 hours, it swiftly recovered, boasting an increase of over 7.5% on the weekly chart.
Rumbling beneath this exciting prospect, however, there are concerns. Analysts note a heightened selling pressure compared to previous cycles, as Bitcoin has broken into a new all-time high before the halving. This historic milestone could surface substantial selling pressure given that 1.87 million BTC, amounting to 9.5% of the circulating supply, were purchased above the $60,000 mark. This indicates an influx of Short-Term Holders, suggesting a shift towards the gradual distribution of dormant supply and profit-taking underpinned by institutional influence.
A caveat to consider in this journey to a potential market zenith is the Federal Reserve’s plan of quantitative tightening. Liquidity removal from markets during the halving period could trigger a slump in Bitcoin and thus, crypto prices. As BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes predicts, this could add propellant to a raging firesale of crypto assets.
Simultaneously, the immense inflows from United States spot Bitcoin ETFs have played an instrumental role in lifting the price rally. These surges accounted for approximately 75% of new investment in Bitcoin as the ETFs accumulated over 841,900 BTC, valued at a staggering $59.2 billion, and making up about 4.28% of Bitcoin’s circulating supply. The pattern indicates that the ETFs are on track to absorb 2.6% of the Bitcoin supply annually.
In the quest for market indicators, the $500 million worth of net inflows generated by Bitcoin ETFs last week cannot be ignored. These robust inflows punctuate the cryptocurrency narrative with profitable punctuation and hint towards a bullish future.
Summarily, the Bitcoin halving event looms large, casting shadows of opportunities and risks. The engrossing plot witnesses a cast of characters, from stalwart hodlers to short-term traders, institutional entities, and federal forces. The scripts climax could potentially unveil as a tale of soaring returns or precipitous losses. It should signal to investors that in the tumultuous universe of cryptocurrency investment, one must concurrently brace for storms while reaching for the stars.