Published on: 29/03/2024
The cryptocurrency market possesses a characteristic volatility that can often be a roller-coaster ride for investors. Recently, weve seen a period of growth for Bitcoin (BTC), indicating an increased demand and interest. Amidst this, the crypto ATM industry shows signs of resurgence as Bitcoin adoption gains momentum once again.
The Bitcoin halving, an event anticipated to occur in late April, is believed to be a catalyst for the surge. According to Brandon Mintz, the CEO of Bitcoin Depot, a major Bitcoin ATM operator, it is after the halving, when Bitcoin’s mining rewards are cut by half, that the price tends to skyrocket the most, subsequently setting the stage for the Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) phase to kick off. This robust trend forecast comes despite the fact that 2023 saw the first-ever yearly decline in crypto ATM installations. Mintz explains that this was largely due to a bear market exacerbated by the collapse of several crypto firms.
Bitcoin Depot’s 2023 results revealed full-year revenues up by 7% YoY to $689 million, though it suffered a sharp 54% drop in net income to $1.6 million. Now, as the crypto market seems to be recovering, the company plans to counteract the net income drop by installing 900 ATMs in the first quarter of 2024, as well as 940 ATMs across convenience stores in 24 United States states.
This growing base of crypto ATMs serves the largely underbanked or unbanked population that primarily transacts in cash. Mintz argues that the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S., while being an adoption catalyst, caters to a completely different demographic, comprised mainly of high-income individuals with brokers or brokerages. Therefore, he downplays any possible negative impact on the crypto ATM user base.
However, Mintz does posit that this surge might only boost the use of Bitcoin ATMs. As adoption increases, with Bitcoins price rising due to the ETFs, consumers may incline towards using ATMs, amplifying the growth of the crypto ATM industry.
Among the network of 37,001 crypto ATMs around the world, the United States holds nearly 83% of them. Over the past 18 months, Mintz notes a decrease in the number of ATM operators, largely a result of the bankruptcy of Coin Cloud, then a 5,000-strong ATM operator, in February 2023.
Looking at these recent developments, its clear that the crypto ATM market is directly influenced by the fluctuation in Bitcoins price and market sentiment. However, despite experiencing a recent downsize, rapid strides in recovery hint towards the potential for growth as the industry adapts to changing market forces. The anticipated Bitcoin halving is another key factor, known to affect Bitcoins price and consequently ATM demand.
For investors, these trends indicate an increased need to monitor the ecosystem closely with a sharp eye on Bitcoins price movement. The introduction of Bitcoin ETFs, the surge of crypto ATM installations, and their prominence could certainly signal bullish prospects. As Mintz states, we are still early in the cycle, and with the halving yet to happen, it might just be the beginning of an exhilarating ascent.