Published on: 09/04/2024
Bitcoin Halving: A Pivotal Event for Cryptos Future?
The impending Bitcoin halving event is stoking the coals of market speculation. Crypto traders worldwide anticipate this momentous event, dawning in 2024, to significantly influence the cryptocurrency market. However, analysts from Steno Research argue that it might prove to be a temporary buy the rumor, sell the news episode. How will this unfold and what are the implications for investors?
Bitcoins halving is an innate facet of its protocol, systematically shrinking miner rewards over time in response to the growing number of Bitcoins in circulation. From the initial 50 BTC reward in 2012, Bitcoin halving events have consistently reduced miners incentives to 25 BTC in 2012, 12.5 BTC in 2016, and most recently, 6.25 BTC in May 2020. Historically, these halving events have triggered market volatilities; the 2016 halving witnessed sustained selling pressure even four months post-halving. Steno Research believes that the crypto market could witness a similar trend in 2024.
The firms analysts predict an upswing in Bitcoins value in the lead up to the halving event, followed by a potential value dip below its level at the time of halving within the subsequent 90 days. Bitcoins price performance prior to and succeeding the 2016 halving indicates a possible replication of this pattern in the forthcoming event.
This forecast underscores the impact of Bitcoin mining rewards on its market price. Despite the fact that post-halving Bitcoins issued will be the smallest yet, their value, when assessed in dollars, is projected at an unprecedented high. Bitcoin miners currently earn an estimated $224,512, significantly higher than the $55,000 pocketed after the previous halving. These figures consolidate the assertion that miners are likely to liquidate their holdings over time, thereby instigating sell-side pressure leading to the anticipated price correction.
However, it is important to note that this anticipated correction does not undermine the inherent bullish catalyst of the halving. Post the initial market adjustments and departures of weak hands - investors seeking quick gains, including some ETF investors - the bullish momentum is expected to make its mark. As selling pressure reduces, the halving could shift gears to depict a positive market trajectory.
Some observers opine that the halving will trigger Bitcoin repricing, potentially propelling the price into an upward spiral. Alex Wice, a seasoned crypto analyst, argues that the events impending impact is yet to be fully factored into Bitcoins price, suggesting a possible tsunami of FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) investors.
Despite expectations of short-term volatility, the underlying bullishness post the halving event could see an upsurge in interest and foster growth across the broader Web3 ecosystem, believes Bitget Wallets Chief Operating Officer, Alvin Kan.
At present, Bitcoin trades at around $71,563, registering a 3.8% hike over the last 24 hours. But as we inch closer to the halving era, investors should be cognizant that trading move comes with its share of risk.
In essence, Bitcoins halving event could stir up a tumultuous phase in the cryptocurrency market. While temporary market jitters are predictable, the broader picture remains promising. Investors and market players need to brace themselves for initial turbulence but can potentially envisage a substantial long-term payoff. As the cryptosphere gets set for this consequential event, a prudent approach backed by thorough research could cement a rewarding market journey in the evolving Bitcoin narrative.