Published on: 23/03/2024
In a future-shaping development in the cryptocurrency markets, Bitcoin (BTC) may be back in the race for a new all-time high, despite grappling with heavy outflows from the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), its so-called biggest headwind.
Institutional BTC outflows, which were plaguing the market, seem to recede, strengthening BTCs push on the price front. This positive turnaround suggests that the market might have already started to witness a shift in momentum. Leading UK-based investment firm, Farside, disclosed that GBTC recorded a slump in the outflow rate, notching up only $170 million on March 22nd.
Simultaneously, GBTC outflows mark yet another record, accounting for five consecutive days of net reductions in assets under management. Not coincidentally, this comes amidst rumors of Genesis, a now-bankrupt crypto lender, purportedly shedding its GBTC holdings throughout the week.
However, the conclusion of this selling spree might ease the downward pressure on ETF trends, an implication that investor and entrepreneur Alistair Milne echoed, observing a major slowdown in GBTC offloading. This potential pivot from the downward trend has experts raising the question - is the momentum turning?”
Add to this mix, statistician Willy Woo, who supports the pivot point theory. Using a new model comparing ETF inflows with the BTC price action, he predicts the end of the initial phase of substantial selling, anticipating a continued consolidation until the next halving in April, bringing more volatility.
With GBTC retaining barely half of the AUM it controlled during its transition to an ETF this January, it drew sharp criticism despite the spot Bitcoin products marking the most successful ETF launch in history, with cumulative flows touching $12.15 billion.
Debates surround the role of GBTC, with notable individuals like crypto author and educator Vijay Boyapati advocating the shedding of GBTCs AUM, arguing that its net outflows were the biggest stumbling block to Bitcoins growth.
These varied market movements and the accompanying interpretations they elicit serve to underline the inherent complexity of cryptocurrency markets. Furthermore, they provide essential insights for discerning investors.
While critics spotlight the pivotal role GBTCs outflows play in restraining BTCs soar, optimists prefer viewing the slowdown in GBTC selling as a possible turning point. Simultaneously, robust growth in cumulative flows and a substantial halving due in April add dimensions to this multifaceted landscape, painting a panoramic view of swirling currents in the sea of cryptocurrencies.
As for the future of the market, it seems to reside in the realm of well-informed speculations, nurturing a sense of cautious optimism. Boosterism runs rampant as Cathie Wood, CEO of ARK Invest, an ETF provider, hints at the bulk of institutional exposure waiting in the wings. But, for crypto currencies, only time and market forces will unfurl the curtains to the next act.